Gizmo Cafe Blog

Guest Blogger Prof. William Crossman Author of VIVO

Next week hear from a very special guest blogger, Professor William Crossman author of VIVO (Voice-In / Voice-Out). Professor Crossman was named in New York Daily’s Millennium Edition as one of the six most influential people in science.

In Professor Crossman’s book he outlines why advances in Voice-In / Voice-Out computer technology will make text and written language obsolete. We can already see much of Prof Crossman’s prophetic observations coming to pass today. Have you ever tried to comprehend some of the strange iconic ‘text’ language the kids are using these days? I think they call it L337 Speak (leet or 'elite' speak). The use of text characters appearing as images called emocons is another ironic use of text to create a different language with icons. ; )

Professor Crossman sees this trend going much further. So, keep an eye on the ten-year-old 1337 h4X0rZ use of keyboard iconography for a glimpse into the future. Part of me fears for future generations, being run by a bunch of n00bs!

Now I’ll turn you over to Professor Crossman’s talking points about his book VIVO, to give you an idea of his farsighted ideas on how technology will change our society.:

Talking Points from William Crossman’s book VIVO [Voice-In/Voice-Out]: The Coming Age of Talking Computers. (For a more complete list of talking points, see the FAQ section at the end of the book, or view it on his website www.compspeak2050.org.)

 1. Finally, there is a technology—voice-recognition technology—that can erase the “digital divide,” democratize the flow of information worldwide, and create a truly “global conversation.” Access to the world’s storehouse of information is a human right.

2. Voice-in / voice-out talking computers (VIVOs) will make text / written language obsolete, replace all writing and reading with speech and graphics / video, and recreate an oral culture by 2050. This will be a positive development.

3. The obituary for text / written language won’t be written; it will be spoken by someone talking to their VIVO in 2050. That is because no one in Year 2050, except some academic specialists, will know or remember how to write or read.

4. Text is a technology—an ancient technology for storing and retrieving information. We store information by writing it; we retrieve information by reading it. As with all technologies, text will be replaced by a newer technology that does the same job more quickly, efficiently and universally.

5. Text / written language isn’t a necessity of life; it’s just a technology. Just as the car replaced the horse and wagon, speech and graphics / video will replace text, and talking computers will replace text-driven computers.

6. The three great potential opportunities carried by VIVOs:

  •      80% of the world’s people are functionally nonliterate; VIVOs will allow them to access the world’s storehouse of information.
  •      VIVO’s instantaneous language–translation function will allow everyone in the world to speak with everyone else, and with any information source, in their own native language. Language barriers will melt away.
  •      VIVOs will allow people whose disabilities prevent them from writing and / or reading to access all information by speaking, listening, looking, and / or signing.

7. The four “engines” driving us into an oral culture by 2050:

  •      Humans are genetically, evolutionarily hard-wired to access information by speaking, listening, and using our other senses. We just start speaking or signing at age 1 or 2—we don’t just start writing.
  •     We seek to develop information technology that uses our biogenetic hard-wiring: our innate ability to speak. Also, we replace older technology with newer technology that does the same overall job better. These explain why VIVO R&D is surging today.
  •     Young people are rejecting text / written language as their technology of choice for accessing information. As they rely more on oral, aural, tactile, and non-text visual information technologies, their IQ’s and visuality are increasing.
  •     The 80% of the world’s people who are functionally nonliterate are demanding access to all information without needing to learn to write and read.

8. VIVOs will drastically change education, business and commerce, international relations, the arts—in short, the ways we do everything.

9. VIVOs will end the school literacy crisis. By 2050, there will be no reason to require young people to learn to read and write, and therefore no reason to require schools to teach it. Instead of the “3 R’s”—reading, ‘riting, and ‘rithmetic—K-12 education will be based on the “4 C’s”—critical thinking, creative thinking, compspeak (accessing information using VIVOs), and calculators. Students will learn eight presently-neglected VIVOlutionary skills for accessing information using talking computers.

Published Friday, September 29, 2006 11:06 AM by Wayde

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Brando said:

As with any evolutionary movement, it is entirely possible that language will change by the mid-21st century.  We might simply look to our past; Americans in the 1950s hardly speak in the same way we do today, and that's the result of both new technologies and global circumstances.  In 1950, North America was not as advanced as it is in 2006 - that goes without saying - but, in addition it was not nearly as multicultural.  Morphing opinions of immigration and racial issues have allowed for cross-culture interaction, meaning that our current linguistics are a globally shared experience.  That's a good thing.  And, I love Indian food.
But, at what rate has this progression occurred?  And, more importantly, how drastic has it been?  The phasing out of a complete language typically takes more than just half a century, and ask any academic - and there are still plenty of them, suprisingly - and they will tell you the simplicity of the book is still the greatest learning tool.  If we are to erase our entire language and replace it with VIVO speak, then some extraordinarily radical changes must occur.  The kind that mutate our genetics, and I'm not sure this is what Professor Crossman is pointing out.
An excellent and fascinating academic contribution.  If this erasure of the English language is indeed projected for 2050, then I hope I am one of those who recalls the creativity of writing and the enriching qualities of a good book.
September 29, 2006 11:59 AM
 

Alissa said:

Incredibly, incredibly fascinating.  Even though i can't agree with it.  I see the importance of developing this new technology and i definitely respect how it could open doors globally.  But why does that mean we have to forego the way things are now?
My major concern is with his point that since teens are developing this new way of speaking and rejecting the old way, we should go with it.  Yeah, it's great that they're learning new ways to think and communicate...but have you actually listened to some of them talk? In some cases, L337 speak, or whatever it is, is having a negative impact on their ability to intelligently express themselves.  Reading and writing both help build vocabulary, process and critique thought, and express those thoughts to others.  Not to mention they help develop patience and attentiveness, which are rapidly declining in young people (and older, really). I'm not sure the VIVO wave of the future will do anything to benefit this skills, and i even think it might hurt them further.
Man, i would love to hear this guy speak though.
September 29, 2006 11:59 AM
 

Big Larry said:

Is this a joke? I'm not going to forget to read in fourty years.

Oh, I take that back. I probably will forget to read in about ten. If nobody was reading because of technological alternatives - it's not that far fetched. A generation occurs every 20 years, you'll have about two generations coming up that will grow up with literacy an uneccessary extra.

I'm sure some will keep reading but I think we'd be surprized how widespread it'd get.

Hey .. if you told me three years ago people would be walking into stores paying two bucks for a small bottle of water I woulda laughed at you. It's just plain old water, it's not even flavored ... not even watermelon flavored, just like tap-water. And we're buying it. Or, you're buying it, not me!
September 29, 2006 4:53 PM
 

JohnBoy Milton said:

This is some pretty wild stuff. I'll have to read that book - I like this futirism theory stuff, when it's explained so that someone as unscientific as myself can understand.
October 1, 2006 6:44 PM
 

Prof. William Crossman said:

Brando, thanks for your message. I'm not forecasting the "phasing out" or erasing of language, speech, or the thinking/thoughts expressed through spoken language. It's only that ancient information technology (IT) for storing and retrieving information we call "text" or "written language," which is already obsolete, that will disappear by 2050, replaced by talking computers. In fact, written language became obsolete in 1877 with the invention of the wax-cylinder phonograph--the first IT in history that had the capacity to store and retrieve information in the form of human speech. However, your idea that human genetics may go through a radical change in the VIVO Age, though not quite right, touches on a major change in human consciousness that will occur over the next decades: since our consciousness won’t be narrowed to access information mainly via reading and writing (which is non-interactive and uses only one sense, our eyes), we’ll retain the multi-sensory & interactive consciousnesses we’re born with—and we’ll create IT that supports this. Instead of a radical genetic change, we’ll actually be able to use our hard-wired, innate, biogenetic, pre-alphabetic consciousness. Think of it as a reconfiguration of neurons.  
October 2, 2006 10:33 PM
 

Prof. William Crossman said:

Alissa, Thanks for your message. We don’t “have to forego” old technologies—we just DO forego them. Throughout human history, when we create a new technology that does the same job better than the old technology, we dump the old one and adopt the new one. You could have a horse and wagon parked in your driveway next to your car—but you don’t; you forego the horse and wagon, even though the car may wreck our environment more. And with talking computers, we’re looking at a new technology that will not only store and receive information more quickly, efficiently, and universally, but it also uses our innate hard-wired ability to speak and/or sign. Writing and reading isn’t innate—it’s a skill that people have to learn (K-12 = Grammar Boot Camp). Re your idea that reading/writing “builds vocabulary”—research indicates people in print-literate societies use an average of only 75 different words over and over; people in oral cultures use many more. Re your idea that literacy helps make us critical thinkers—research indicates that, in the electronically-developed countries, young people’s literacy skills are declining, but their IQs and their visuality are dramatically improving. Re your idea that patience and attentiveness are declining and this will hurt young people—as young people choose new information technologies that are interactive and engage all the senses, young people are developing new VIVOlutionary skills that allow them to multi-task and to engage more constantly and naturally in information gathering/accessing. This may appear to us as impatience and inattentiveness or even ADD, but it isn’t.  
October 2, 2006 11:11 PM
 

Prof. William Crossman said:

Big Larry, Thanks for your message. These days, a generation occurs about every 3 years! The average 11-year-old’s ability to use the new information technology and to multi-task is far ahead of the average 14-year-old’s, and the 8-year-old’s is zooming ahead of the 11-year-old’s. Each new (3-year) generation is being raised with more advanced IT, and is learning to multi-task at an even earlier age.
October 2, 2006 11:28 PM
 

Prof. William Crossman said:

JohnBoy Milton, Thanks for your message. After you read the book, I’d like to hear your ideas.
October 2, 2006 11:28 PM
 

Gizmo Cafe Blog said:

I attended Toronto’s World Future Conference in July and presented my ideas on "The Coming Age of Talking...
October 18, 2006 2:36 PM
 

tramadol said:

I always have terrible trouble with comment-related plugins that require me to put some line in the comment loop; I can never seem to find the right spot. Can anyone tell me where I should put the php line in my comments loop? I haven not modified anything much, and I would be very grateful. Thanks!
January 25, 2007 10:31 PM
 

trmadol said:

I always have terrible trouble with comment-related plugins that require me to put some line in the comment loop; I can never seem to find the right spot. Can anyone tell me where I should put the php line in my comments loop? I haven not modified anything much, and I would be very grateful. Thanks!
January 26, 2007 12:20 AM
 

tramdol said:

I always have terrible trouble with comment-related plugins that require me to put some line in the comment loop; I can never seem to find the right spot. Can anyone tell me where I should put the php line in my comments loop? I haven not modified anything much, and I would be very grateful. Thanks!
January 26, 2007 3:35 AM
 

cheap tramdol said:

Bonjour! What a super websight! Very refreshing to peruse from where we live in Paris (France). I eat frogs and drink wine. Woold like more informatons on this. Best regards! Mikael.
January 27, 2007 2:13 PM
 

shemales pictures said:

Since one of the ideas is to split strings not into words, but hopefully into phrases more semantically informative than the words they are made of, doing that better should mean better suggestions, and avoiding what essentially are word n-tuples should make for smaller data and slightly faster querying.
January 31, 2007 11:19 PM
 

porn oral said:

Since one of the ideas is to split strings not into words, but hopefully into phrases more semantically informative than the words they are made of, doing that better should mean better suggestions, and avoiding what essentially are word n-tuples should make for smaller data and slightly faster querying.
February 1, 2007 12:26 PM
 

LogicPoet said:

A koala is sitting up a gum tree smoking a joint when a little lizard walks past and looks up and says, "Hey Koala !What are you doing?"
The koala says: "Smoking a joint, come up and have some."
So the little lizard climbs up and sits next to the koala and they burn a few. After a while the little lizard says his mouth is 'dry' and is going to get a drink from the river. But the little lizard is so stoned that he leans too far over and falls into the river.
A crocodile sees this and swims over to the little lizard and helps him to the side, then asks the little lizard: "What's the matter with you?" The little lizard explains to the crocodile that he was sitting smoking a joint with the koala in the tree, got too stoned and then fell into the river while taking a drink. The crocodile says he has to check this out and walks into the rain forest, finds the tree where the koala is sitting finishing a joint, and he looks up and says " Hey you!" So the koala looks down at him and says:"Shiiiiiiiiiiit dude.  how much water did you drink?!!"
March 16, 2007 2:47 PM
 

research indicates that most people forget about how much of what they hear said:

May 19, 2008 12:19 PM

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About Wayde

Wayde’s super power is fixing electronics by smacking them. Fixing his way through college he repaired TVs - monitors, stereos and even a pinball machine. He was finally defeated by arch nemesis - Planned Obsolescence in issue #280 and now enjoys super-hero retirement as an editor and gadget blogger.